You don't always have to move all-in...

Life is always a gamble. Sometimes it doesn't matter if you win or lose, but it's about the thrill, the action and making sound choices in life. So far, great choices, average results (imagine 60/40 decisions with 40% results).

Thursday, June 08, 2006

There's no reason to do this sober.

So, I fire up one SnG tonight (Party upgraded their software, and you can't even get on a table tonight - foreshadow warning, I shouldn't have got on).

I've taken a short sabbatical from drinking...looking to do two weeks...I need to be at work at 6:45am tomorrow anyway (in a tie no less), so whatever.

I get one open and I get crappy cards. I fold the first three orbits and the table is playing way tight. First raise is stealing anything. It's brutally obvious...there's no use limping, even with QTo, or K9s, or JTo...Someone will pot it PF and no one will play.

So on my third orbit, I'm dealt KK in late position (LP from now on). We have an UTG raise to 145 (about 3x BB + SB) and a cold caller. I ask myself, why 145? Why not 120 (3X BB) or 140 (3X BB + SB). Why the extra? So, I think they are hacks.

Since there was an early raiser and a cold caller, I smooth call with my KK.

Some of you may ask why smooth call with the KK. This tourney had been tight. A reraise after a UTG PF raise and cold call screams AA, KK, or AKs. Since this was the very first hand I was playing in the tourney (I had to fold all my previous blinds), I did not want to define my hand so much.

The flop comes J-7-2 rainbow. This is a perfect flop for my hand. I am not likely up against 2 pr, and the worst I have against me is JJ, 77, or 22 for trips (AA is unlikely from the MP cold caller and the PF raiser shouldn't have raised an obscure amount from UTG).

The pot has 490 in it, and the UTG bettor bets 240. MP folds, and I pop him back to 800 to go. Leaving me about 900 behind. UTG thinks for a second and pushes all in.

I don't put him on trips since he would have slow played a set UTG with two players to act behind (you want to make sure you don't get 2 folds behind if you bet). I put him on a middle pair or a Jack.

He flips over AJd for TPTK and a backdoor flush draw.

Using the poker calculator at CardPlayer.com, (after the fact, obviously), I am a 75-25 favorite, or 3-1. Keep in mind that a overpair situation (like AA vs KK) is a 4-1 favorite, so I'm in a great situation here for all my chips. He has a few outs, 3 Aces (some are likely spent), 2 Jacks, or running diamonds (very roughly 16-1 against).

He hit the running diamonds. Good for me.

IGHN (I go home now). Actually I didn't, I had him covered by 35 chips. Laughing at my demise, I was dealt KK AGAIN. Woo-hoo, I doubled up to 70 and I was out with my next blind.

I try for 30 minutes to get on another table, and Party can't refresh enough to show me open tables. It's a good thing, because I'm pissed....and sober.....hide your children.

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